Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.063173 0.074937 0.088138 0.104028 0.122615 0.143649 0.169237
2025-04-06 0.043716 0.058371 0.076703 0.101229 0.133092 0.172982 0.226600
2025-04-13 0.032242 0.047314 0.067863 0.097739 0.139849 0.196833 0.279495
2025-04-20 0.026340 0.041808 0.064450 0.099691 0.152772 0.229255 0.347192
2025-04-27 0.021873 0.037197 0.061069 0.100495 0.163382 0.259014 0.414372
2025-05-04 0.018471 0.033433 0.058086 0.101023 0.173097 0.288052 0.483587
2025-05-11 0.015972 0.030611 0.056000 0.102406 0.183981 0.319793 0.560512
2025-05-18 0.014277 0.028842 0.055317 0.105885 0.198580 0.359010 0.654100
2025-05-25 0.011955 0.025446 0.051134 0.102374 0.200238 0.376146 0.711582
2025-06-01 0.010442 0.023332 0.048954 0.102154 0.207668 0.404014 0.790943
2025-06-08 0.009047 0.021191 0.046357 0.100663 0.212345 0.427163 0.863968
2025-06-15 0.008234 0.020143 0.045786 0.103113 0.224972 0.466534 0.971882
2025-06-22 0.007201 0.018441 0.043630 0.102059 0.230600 0.493478 1.059800
2025-06-29 0.006208 0.016642 0.040980 0.099544 0.232843 0.513979 1.137392
2025-07-06 0.005310 0.014894 0.038148 0.096160 0.232678 0.529388 1.206105
2025-07-13 0.004854 0.014183 0.037642 0.098095 0.244673 0.571920 1.337237
2025-07-20 0.004390 0.013361 0.036725 0.098889 0.254101 0.609846 1.462415
2025-07-27 0.003970 0.012573 0.035762 0.099410 0.262918 0.647334 1.590646
2025-08-03 0.003635 0.011963 0.035164 0.100772 0.273960 0.691116 1.738009
2025-08-10 0.003417 0.011658 0.035338 0.104198 0.290641 0.749962 1.926962
2025-08-17 0.002972 0.010555 0.033107 0.100741 0.289055 0.764627 2.011466
2025-08-24 0.002689 0.009913 0.032091 0.100524 0.296028 0.801111 2.153344
2025-08-31 0.002401 0.009191 0.030715 0.099056 0.299392 0.828844 2.276216